- 博文
集中推地别演化为集中囤地
2009-10-26 14:39:34本文刊发于《东方早报》
今年上半年房市的热门词当属“小阳春”，而下半年以来，“地王”两字无疑是出现率最高的。今年4月绿地集团以12亿元的价格拿下徐汇船厂地块；6月朗华置业公司以4.22亿元的价格购得周家桥街道91街坊地块；7月金地集团以30.48亿元的价格竞得赵巷10号地块；9月10日中海地产以70.06亿元拍得长风6B、7C地块；9月30日绿地集团以72.45亿元拿下龙华路1960号地块。时隔1年，2009年的地王再次你追我赶不断刷新，土地市场的水银柱正持续上升。2007年的“面粉面包论”由此老调重弹，土地成本大幅提升使得市场恐高心理再次加剧。
地王的形成并不是偶然的事件，其形成的原因大致可以归为三个，其一是基于土地升值的巨大利益驱动，众所周知，房地产的升值绝大部分的原因其实就是土地的升值而非建筑本身，土地资源的不可再生使其供应缺乏弹性，握有土地资源则意味着掌握了长期的升值。其二是随着城市化进程的继续新人口的导入，以及大市政规划利好的推动，仅上海而言，世博会、两个中心、大虹桥、真如副中心等陆续不断的利好就使得土地价格连续攀升，最近如崇明的隧桥通车即使崇明房产大为一振。在此之下，已成为准投资产品的房产必然会出现供应与需求的不对称，下游的供应不足，直接导致上游土地市场的洛阳纸贵。其三，今年执行的资金金率降低的新政，事实上使得房地产开发的资金杠杆得以延长，加之较低的利率水平，也加强了拿地的底气。
不可否认，地王的屡屡刷新，未必是一宗好事。距离现在并不远的2007年，同样是地王的高产期，或事后退地或尚未开发等情况并不鲜见。地王并不一定会成为楼王，稳赚不赔的生意是不现实的。在资产价格由于货币因素而形成过度膨胀的现实之下，地王的过多出现对于整体经济有近利而更有远危。
9月30日，上海市国有建设用地使用权出让预公告公布共计40幅住宅和商住用地、约355公顷，涉及普陀、嘉定、宝山、闸北和浦东新区等12个区域。如此大规模的推地，至少表明了在地王屡屡出现的市场背景之下，管理层拟加大土地供应，平抑地价快速上升的用意。集中大面积推地，无论是在实质层面的加大事实供应，以及在心理层面的抑制非理性拿地的冲动，都将有着积极的意义。但是，鉴于几年前的相当比例地王们的现状，为使加大土地供应真正成为加大住宅产品供应的终端目标。集中推地则必须与国土资源部正在推行的抑制囤地的政策并行，否则，集中推地若演化为将来的集中囤地，则会事倍功半。
阅读(6935) | 评论(5) | 收藏(0) | 推荐(1) | 举报
- 请选择表情
- Ｘ
-
- 顶
-
- 赞
-
- 闷
-
- 踩
-
- 真棒
-
- 我生气了
-
- 我酷吧
-
- 微笑
-
- 热吻
-
- 好害羞
-
- 翻白眼
-
- 悲伤
-
- 抓狂
-
- 疑问
-
- 窃笑
-
- 惊讶
-
- 汗
-
- 鬼脸
-
- 大笑
-
- 呲牙
-
- 闭嘴
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-necklace-c-1.html" target="_blank">Pandora necklaces</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-necklace-c-1.html" target="_blank">Pandora necklace</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-necklace-c-1.html" target="_blank">Pandora Match Necklaces</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-necklace-c-1.html" target="_blank">Pandora Pendants</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-necklace-c-1.html" target="_blank">Pandora Charm Necklaces</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-necklace-c-1.html" target="_blank">cheap Pandora Necklaces</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-necklace-c-1.html" target="_blank">Discount Pandora Necklaces</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-rings-c-4-5.html" target="_blank">pandora rings</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-rings-c-4-5.html" target="_blank">pandora ring</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-rings-c-4-5.html" target="_blank">Pandora Match Rings</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-rings-c-4-5.html" target="_blank">Discount Pandora Rings</a>
<a href="http://www.pandorajewelryworld.com/pandora-rings-c-4-5.html" target="_blank">cheap Pandora Rings</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-infants-erin-c-1430.html" target="_blank">Ugg classic mini boots</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-knightsbridge-c-1431.html" target="_blank">UGG Women boots</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-knightsbridge-c-1431.html" target="_blank">UGG Knightsbridge Boots</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-knightsbridge-c-1431.html" target="_blank">UGG Knightsbridge sale</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-lo-pro-button-c-1427.html" target="_blank">UGG Lo Pro Button Boots</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-lo-pro-button-c-1427.html" target="_blank">UGG Lo Pro Button</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-nightfall-c-1419.html" target="_blank">uggs Nightfall</a>
<a href="http://www.uggbootszone.info/ugg-nightfall-c-1419.html" target="_blank">Ugg Nightfall Boots</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/" target="_blank">NHL Jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/" target="_blank">NHL Jersey sale</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/" target="_blank"<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/" target="_blank">NHL Jersey sale</a>>nhl jerseys wholesale</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseys-c-1.html" target="_blank">nhl jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseys-c-1.html" target="_blank">cheap nhl jerseys</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseys-c-1.html" target="_blank">2009 nhl jerseys</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensmontrealcanadiens-c-1_7.html" target="_blank">Men's Montreal Canadiens</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensmontrealcanadiens-c-1_7.html" target="_blank">Men's Montreal Canadiens discount</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenspittsburghpenguins-c-1_10.html" target="_blank">Men's Pittsburgh Penguins</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenspittsburghpenguins-c-1_10.html"target="_blank">Pittsburgh Penguin for men</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenspittsburghpenguins-c-1_10.html" target="_blank">cheap Pittsburgh Penguins</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenschicagoblackhawks-c-1_4.html" target="_blank">Men's Chicago Blackhawks</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenschicagoblackhawks-c-1_4.html" target="_blank">chicago blackhawks jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenschicagoblackhawks-c-1_4.html" target="_blank">chicago blackhawks for men</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensdetroitredwings-c-1_5.html" target="_blank">Men's Detroit Red Wings</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensdetroitredwings-c-1_5.html" target="_blank">Men's Detroit Wings</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensdetroitredwings-c-1_5.html" target="_blank">Detroit Red Wings for men</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensbostonbruins-c-1_2.html" target="_blank">Men's Boston Bruins</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensbostonbruins-c-1_2.html" target="_blank">Boston Bruins Jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensbostonbruins-c-1_2.html" target="_blank">Boston Bruins Jerseys</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenscalgaryflames-c-1_3.html" target="_blank">Men's Calgary Flames</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenscalgaryflames-c-1_3.html" target="_blank">Calgary Flames Jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenscalgaryflames-c-1_3.html" target="_blank">Calgary Flames Jerseys</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensphiladelphiaflyers-c-1_9.html" target="_blank">Men's Philadelphia Flyers</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensphiladelphiaflyers-c-1_9.html" target="_blank">Philadelphia Flyers Jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensphiladelphiaflyers-c-1_9.html" target="_blank">Philadelphia Flyers Jerseys</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensbuffalosabres-c-1_12.html" target="_blank">Men's Buffalo Sabres</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensbuffalosabres-c-1_12.html" target="_blank">Buffalo Sabres Jerseys</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensbuffalosabres-c-1_12.html" target="_blank">Buffalo Sabres Jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensnewjerseydevils-c-1_8.html" target="_blank">Men's New Jersey Devils</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensnewjerseydevils-c-1_8.html" target="_blank">New Jersey Devils Jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmensnewjerseydevils-c-1_8.html" target="_blank">New Jersey Devils sale</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenswashingtoncapitals-c-1_11.html" target="_blank">Washington Capitals Jersey</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenswashingtoncapitals-c-1_11.html" target="_blank">Washington Capitals Jerseys</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/nhljerseysmenswashingtoncapitals-c-1_11.html" target="_blank">Washington Capitals for men</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/menslosangeleskings99gretzkyccmcpatchblack-p-7077.html" target="_blank">Men's Los Angeles Kings</a>
<a href="http://www.bestcooldesigner.com/menslosangeleskings99gretzkyccmcpatchblack-p-7077.html" target="_blank">Men's los angeles kings</a>